Ethereum

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis

Digitex Futures
• Dave Reiter
April 12, 2021

Similar to other coins and tokens, Ethereum has generated a substantial rally throughout the past six months. Specifically, ETH has increased 498%, outperforming BTC by approximately 60% during the same time period (see chart 1 below). So, where do we go from here? How will ETH perform for the remainder of 2021 and beyond? Let’s explore the details.

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 1

The Difference Between Ethereum and Ether

In terms of market capitalization, ETH is the second-largest cryptocurrency in the crypto universe. Only Bitcoin has a larger market capitalization. ETH has enjoyed some explosive price moves throughout its brief 6-year history. But, before we analyze the future price direction of ETH, let’s briefly discuss the difference between Ethereum and Ether.

There seems to be some confusion regarding these two crypto terms. Ethereum is a blockchain-based platform used for writing autonomous smart contracts and decentralized applications. Ether is the cryptocurrency that serves as the fuel to power the smart contracts, apps, and other transactions on the Ethereum blockchain.

Although most people in the crypto community (including many crypto websites) use these words interchangeably, they are actually quite different in terms of how they are used in the crypto ecosystem.

Use Cases for Ethereum Blockchain Continue to Expand

In this article, we will be analyzing the price direction of Ether (ETH), the cryptocurrency. However, it’s also important to discuss Ethereum, the blockchain, because it lays the foundation for the current ETH bull market. It seems almost impossible to believe that Ether was trading below $100 per token less than 15 months ago (see chart 2).

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 2

Over the course of the past 15 months, ETH has exploded to the upside by increasing 2,226%. Since March 2020, ETH has been one of the top-performing cryptocurrencies within the entire crypto universe. Ether easily outperformed Bitcoin during this particular time period, 2,226% versus 1,388%.

The majority of Ether’s gains can be attributed to the fact that the total number of use cases for the Ethereum blockchain has increased substantially. Unlike the Bitcoin blockchain, Ethereum can be used for multiple applications across a wide variety of industries. Several of these applications have evolved into legitimate and profitable business enterprises with exponential growth potential. Let’s briefly examine a few of these Ethereum-based businesses.

DeFi (Decentralized Finance)

Without question, the most exciting new business linked to Ethereum is decentralized finance, more commonly known as DeFi. Although DeFi has been in existence for less than four years, it has gained an incredible amount of interest from venture capital firms and angel investors who see the enormous potential in this new space.

Without going into great detail, DeFi competes head-to-head with the legacy financial services industry, with an estimated value of $26.5 trillion by 2022, according to data gathered by The World Bank. Based on these numbers, the upside potential in DeFi is massive. This is great news if you are an owner of ETH because the overwhelming majority of the DeFi ecosystem operates on the Ethereum blockchain.

NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens)

Another business venture associated with Ethereum is non-fungible tokens (NFT), which have witnessed a tremendous wave of enthusiasm from investors and speculators during the past few months. Very briefly, non-fungible tokens allow non-fungible assets to possess unique properties that completely change the user and development relationship of these assets.

Examples of non-fungible digital assets include digital collectibles, such as in-game items and characters, virtual pets, and representations of fine art. By attaching unique properties such as immutability and scarcity to non-fungible assets, it substantially increases the value of said assets.

Almost the entire NFT industry operates on the Ethereum blockchain, which is obviously bullish for ETH. Arguably, the most exciting part of NFTs is the fact that young people are heavily involved in this exciting new space. Consequently, this will provide Generation Z with an opportunity to familiarize themselves with cryptocurrencies and other digital assets. This is very bullish from a long-term perspective.

In addition to DeFi and NFT, the Ethereum blockchain is also actively engaged in enterprise software, which is used by organizations, businesses, charities, schools, and governments to handle day-to-day operations across a wide variety of internal departments within each organization.

These daily operations would include such tasks as human resources, supply chain management, database management, CRM, security, and billing systems. Enterprise software companies are using a privatized version of the Ethereum network to provide their services to companies like Microsoft, IBM, JPMorgan Chase, and Deloitte.

These are just a few examples of how the Ethereum blockchain is linked to industries and businesses across the global economy. Of course, this is extremely bullish for ETH because these companies and businesses must purchase ETH in order to pay for their services on the Ethereum blockchain. Many crypto experts believe that the number of use cases for Ethereum will continue to expand as blockchain technology becomes more common throughout the global economy.

Using TA to Forecast the Price of ETH

Technical analysis has been extremely useful in forecasting the future price direction of ETH. Let’s review a few of these indicators.

Arguably, the most reliable technical indicator in modern history was created by a twelfth-century Italian mathematician by the name of Leonardo Fibonacci. The vast majority of mathematical historians consider Fibonacci to be the greatest mathematician of the Middle Ages. In fact, many experts in the field of mathematics claim that Fibonacci was one of the ten greatest mathematicians of all time.

Fibonacci made several important contributions to the field of mathematics throughout his life. However, he will always be most famously known for Fibonacci numbers, which are a sequence of numbers developed by Fibonacci circa 1202.

Fibonacci numbers are used in the study of nature, music, agriculture, computer applications, price forecasting, and several other fields of study. Stock and commodity traders use “Fib” numbers to calculate support and resistance levels.

The most common Fib levels are:

  • .236
  • .382
  • .500
  • .618
  • .786
  • 000

It’s not uncommon for financial assets like cryptocurrencies to fluctuate between Fibonacci support and resistance levels for long periods of time. When a major breakout finally occurs, it usually marks the beginning of a substantial move.

The crypto trading community would love to know the final top in ETH before a new bear market ensues, probably near the end of 2021 or early-2022. Of course, it’s impossible to accurately forecast the final top of any speculative asset. Cryptocurrencies are particularly difficult because we have such a small sample size of historical data. However, we can use Fibonacci numbers to develop an educated forecast concerning the final top for Ether. Please review the calculation on Chart 3 below:

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 3

There are several different ways to use Fib levels as a forecasting device. The most popular format involves calculating the price difference between two important price levels. For this particular calculation, we selected the historic high from January 2018 and the subsequent low achieved in December of the same year.

The majority of Fibonacci experts agree that .618 is the most significant Fib level. Therefore, we will use this number in our calculation. Based on the Fibonacci calculation, the final top for this cycle will be 4,921.73. If ETH follows the same path as the 2017 bull market, the top will occur in late-2021.

Another useful technical indicator is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which was created by J Welles Wilder Jr, one of the greatest technical analysts in the history of financial markets. RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the overbought or oversold condition of a speculative asset. RSI is typically displayed in an oscillator format, which fluctuates between 0 and 100.

Generally speaking, a market is considered overbought if the RSI reading exceeds 70. Conversely, the market is considered oversold if the RSI reading falls below 30. Many traders will use a reading above 70 as a trigger to generate a sell signal and a reading below 30 will generate a buy signal. However, this is not a good strategy to follow in a momentum-fueled environment like cryptocurrencies. Please review Chart number 4:

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 4

The RSI reading has been above 70 since November 9, 2020, when ETH was trading @ 446.10. Obviously, this was not a good time to sell ETH. In fact, this would have been a great time to buy Ether. Therefore, an argument could be made that the optimum way to use RSI for trending markets like cryptocurrencies is to wait for a bullish breakout above 70 as a buy signal. A bearish breakout below 30 would constitute a sell signal. Trying to pick tops and bottoms in a trending market is a recipe for disaster. As Chart #4 clearly demonstrates, the best course of action is to follow the momentum.

In addition to RSI, another momentum-based indicator is the Money Flow Index (MFI). This indicator measures the inflow and outflow of money into a speculative asset over a specific period of time. It uses price and volume to calculate trading pressure. Arguably, MFI is the purest way to determine the amount of money entering and leaving a particular asset class.

Similar to RSI, the index fluctuates between 0 and 100. In terms of trending markets like cryptocurrencies, the best way to apply MFI is to wait for a bullish breakout above 70 or a bearish breakout below 30. MFI is located at the bottom of Chart #5.

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 5

An Ether buy signal was generated @ 509.11 on November 23, 2020, when MFI penetrated the 70 level. MFI has been continuously above 70 for the past five months. This is a perfect example of why it’s best to follow the trend of the market and avoid the temptation to pick a top or bottom.

At least for now, the trend of ETH is clearly in favor of the bulls. The vast majority of technical indicators are forecasting a continuation of the bull market. In addition to technical analysis, the fundamental backdrop for Ether is extremely bullish, as more use cases are being added to the Ethereum blockchain. Eventually, this bullish cycle will end and a new bear cycle will begin. However, this current bullish phase could easily continue for the remainder of 2021.

Don’t forget that whether the price of ETH goes up or down, you can make money trading ETH futures on our zero-fee rapid-fire ladder trading platform. Sign up here to find out how easy it is to profit from even the smallest of price fluctuations when you’re not constantly losing out to commissions. 

Digitex Futures writers and/or guest authors may or may not have a vested interest in the Digitex Futures project and/or other businesses mentioned throughout the site. None of the content on Digitex Futures is investment advice nor is it a replacement for advice from a certified financial planner.

April 12, 2021
Digitex Futures

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis

Dave Reiter
Ethereum

Similar to other coins and tokens, Ethereum has generated a substantial rally throughout the past six months. Specifically, ETH has increased 498%, outperforming BTC by approximately 60% during the same time period (see chart 1 below). So, where do we go from here? How will ETH perform for the remainder of 2021 and beyond? Let’s explore the details.

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 6

The Difference Between Ethereum and Ether

In terms of market capitalization, ETH is the second-largest cryptocurrency in the crypto universe. Only Bitcoin has a larger market capitalization. ETH has enjoyed some explosive price moves throughout its brief 6-year history. But, before we analyze the future price direction of ETH, let’s briefly discuss the difference between Ethereum and Ether.

There seems to be some confusion regarding these two crypto terms. Ethereum is a blockchain-based platform used for writing autonomous smart contracts and decentralized applications. Ether is the cryptocurrency that serves as the fuel to power the smart contracts, apps, and other transactions on the Ethereum blockchain.

Although most people in the crypto community (including many crypto websites) use these words interchangeably, they are actually quite different in terms of how they are used in the crypto ecosystem.

Use Cases for Ethereum Blockchain Continue to Expand

In this article, we will be analyzing the price direction of Ether (ETH), the cryptocurrency. However, it’s also important to discuss Ethereum, the blockchain, because it lays the foundation for the current ETH bull market. It seems almost impossible to believe that Ether was trading below $100 per token less than 15 months ago (see chart 2).

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 7

Over the course of the past 15 months, ETH has exploded to the upside by increasing 2,226%. Since March 2020, ETH has been one of the top-performing cryptocurrencies within the entire crypto universe. Ether easily outperformed Bitcoin during this particular time period, 2,226% versus 1,388%.

The majority of Ether’s gains can be attributed to the fact that the total number of use cases for the Ethereum blockchain has increased substantially. Unlike the Bitcoin blockchain, Ethereum can be used for multiple applications across a wide variety of industries. Several of these applications have evolved into legitimate and profitable business enterprises with exponential growth potential. Let’s briefly examine a few of these Ethereum-based businesses.

DeFi (Decentralized Finance)

Without question, the most exciting new business linked to Ethereum is decentralized finance, more commonly known as DeFi. Although DeFi has been in existence for less than four years, it has gained an incredible amount of interest from venture capital firms and angel investors who see the enormous potential in this new space.

Without going into great detail, DeFi competes head-to-head with the legacy financial services industry, with an estimated value of $26.5 trillion by 2022, according to data gathered by The World Bank. Based on these numbers, the upside potential in DeFi is massive. This is great news if you are an owner of ETH because the overwhelming majority of the DeFi ecosystem operates on the Ethereum blockchain.

NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens)

Another business venture associated with Ethereum is non-fungible tokens (NFT), which have witnessed a tremendous wave of enthusiasm from investors and speculators during the past few months. Very briefly, non-fungible tokens allow non-fungible assets to possess unique properties that completely change the user and development relationship of these assets.

Examples of non-fungible digital assets include digital collectibles, such as in-game items and characters, virtual pets, and representations of fine art. By attaching unique properties such as immutability and scarcity to non-fungible assets, it substantially increases the value of said assets.

Almost the entire NFT industry operates on the Ethereum blockchain, which is obviously bullish for ETH. Arguably, the most exciting part of NFTs is the fact that young people are heavily involved in this exciting new space. Consequently, this will provide Generation Z with an opportunity to familiarize themselves with cryptocurrencies and other digital assets. This is very bullish from a long-term perspective.

In addition to DeFi and NFT, the Ethereum blockchain is also actively engaged in enterprise software, which is used by organizations, businesses, charities, schools, and governments to handle day-to-day operations across a wide variety of internal departments within each organization.

These daily operations would include such tasks as human resources, supply chain management, database management, CRM, security, and billing systems. Enterprise software companies are using a privatized version of the Ethereum network to provide their services to companies like Microsoft, IBM, JPMorgan Chase, and Deloitte.

These are just a few examples of how the Ethereum blockchain is linked to industries and businesses across the global economy. Of course, this is extremely bullish for ETH because these companies and businesses must purchase ETH in order to pay for their services on the Ethereum blockchain. Many crypto experts believe that the number of use cases for Ethereum will continue to expand as blockchain technology becomes more common throughout the global economy.

Using TA to Forecast the Price of ETH

Technical analysis has been extremely useful in forecasting the future price direction of ETH. Let’s review a few of these indicators.

Arguably, the most reliable technical indicator in modern history was created by a twelfth-century Italian mathematician by the name of Leonardo Fibonacci. The vast majority of mathematical historians consider Fibonacci to be the greatest mathematician of the Middle Ages. In fact, many experts in the field of mathematics claim that Fibonacci was one of the ten greatest mathematicians of all time.

Fibonacci made several important contributions to the field of mathematics throughout his life. However, he will always be most famously known for Fibonacci numbers, which are a sequence of numbers developed by Fibonacci circa 1202.

Fibonacci numbers are used in the study of nature, music, agriculture, computer applications, price forecasting, and several other fields of study. Stock and commodity traders use “Fib” numbers to calculate support and resistance levels.

The most common Fib levels are:

  • .236
  • .382
  • .500
  • .618
  • .786
  • 000

It’s not uncommon for financial assets like cryptocurrencies to fluctuate between Fibonacci support and resistance levels for long periods of time. When a major breakout finally occurs, it usually marks the beginning of a substantial move.

The crypto trading community would love to know the final top in ETH before a new bear market ensues, probably near the end of 2021 or early-2022. Of course, it’s impossible to accurately forecast the final top of any speculative asset. Cryptocurrencies are particularly difficult because we have such a small sample size of historical data. However, we can use Fibonacci numbers to develop an educated forecast concerning the final top for Ether. Please review the calculation on Chart 3 below:

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 8

There are several different ways to use Fib levels as a forecasting device. The most popular format involves calculating the price difference between two important price levels. For this particular calculation, we selected the historic high from January 2018 and the subsequent low achieved in December of the same year.

The majority of Fibonacci experts agree that .618 is the most significant Fib level. Therefore, we will use this number in our calculation. Based on the Fibonacci calculation, the final top for this cycle will be 4,921.73. If ETH follows the same path as the 2017 bull market, the top will occur in late-2021.

Another useful technical indicator is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which was created by J Welles Wilder Jr, one of the greatest technical analysts in the history of financial markets. RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the overbought or oversold condition of a speculative asset. RSI is typically displayed in an oscillator format, which fluctuates between 0 and 100.

Generally speaking, a market is considered overbought if the RSI reading exceeds 70. Conversely, the market is considered oversold if the RSI reading falls below 30. Many traders will use a reading above 70 as a trigger to generate a sell signal and a reading below 30 will generate a buy signal. However, this is not a good strategy to follow in a momentum-fueled environment like cryptocurrencies. Please review Chart number 4:

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 9

The RSI reading has been above 70 since November 9, 2020, when ETH was trading @ 446.10. Obviously, this was not a good time to sell ETH. In fact, this would have been a great time to buy Ether. Therefore, an argument could be made that the optimum way to use RSI for trending markets like cryptocurrencies is to wait for a bullish breakout above 70 as a buy signal. A bearish breakout below 30 would constitute a sell signal. Trying to pick tops and bottoms in a trending market is a recipe for disaster. As Chart #4 clearly demonstrates, the best course of action is to follow the momentum.

In addition to RSI, another momentum-based indicator is the Money Flow Index (MFI). This indicator measures the inflow and outflow of money into a speculative asset over a specific period of time. It uses price and volume to calculate trading pressure. Arguably, MFI is the purest way to determine the amount of money entering and leaving a particular asset class.

Similar to RSI, the index fluctuates between 0 and 100. In terms of trending markets like cryptocurrencies, the best way to apply MFI is to wait for a bullish breakout above 70 or a bearish breakout below 30. MFI is located at the bottom of Chart #5.

The Future Price of Ethereum — Technical Analysis 10

An Ether buy signal was generated @ 509.11 on November 23, 2020, when MFI penetrated the 70 level. MFI has been continuously above 70 for the past five months. This is a perfect example of why it’s best to follow the trend of the market and avoid the temptation to pick a top or bottom.

At least for now, the trend of ETH is clearly in favor of the bulls. The vast majority of technical indicators are forecasting a continuation of the bull market. In addition to technical analysis, the fundamental backdrop for Ether is extremely bullish, as more use cases are being added to the Ethereum blockchain. Eventually, this bullish cycle will end and a new bear cycle will begin. However, this current bullish phase could easily continue for the remainder of 2021.

Don’t forget that whether the price of ETH goes up or down, you can make money trading ETH futures on our zero-fee rapid-fire ladder trading platform. Sign up here to find out how easy it is to profit from even the smallest of price fluctuations when you’re not constantly losing out to commissions. 

Digitex Futures writers and/or guest authors may or may not have a vested interest in the Digitex Futures project and/or other businesses mentioned throughout the site. None of the content on Digitex Futures is investment advice nor is it a replacement for advice from a certified financial planner.

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A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 11

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies

Digitex Futures
Trading
• Dave Reiter
February 11, 2020

In the world of trading and investing, there are two different methods for speculating across all asset classes.

Speculators are divided into one of the following categories: fundamental analysis or technical analysis.

Let’s examine each category and consider how they can be used to develop crypto trading strategies that work.

Fundamental Analysis vs. Technical Analysis

Fundamental analysis is most widely used among stock market traders, particularly those who invest in individual stocks. This particular method focuses on the earnings per share (EPS), price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, dividend yield, and debt-to-equity ratio.

The main objective of fundamental analysis is to determine the intrinsic value of the individual stock. If the price of the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, an investor may want to buy the stock.

Investors use fundamental analysis with other asset classes such as bonds, commodities, and alternative investments. Regardless of the asset class, the objective is always the same — to determine the intrinsic value of the underlying asset.

If the asset is trading below its intrinsic value, the investor would be inclined to buy the security based on the fact that it’s undervalued. This can be a foundation of day trading futures strategies.

Technical analysis uses a completely different method. It’s a trading approach designed to evaluate investment flows and trading opportunities by analyzing statistical trends.

These statistical trends are gathered from various trading activities, most notably price movement and volume.

Technical analysis makes no effort to determine intrinsic value. Instead, it focuses on patterns derived from price movements and charting tools. These tools are used to appraise the strength or weakness of the underlying security or asset class and determine the day trading strategies for cryptocurrency or other assets.

Although technical analysis can be used with any asset class, it is most widely used among currency and commodity traders. Why?

Because historical research suggests that currencies and commodities generate much better performance results when traders use trend-following tools commonly found in technical analysis to develop their day trading futures strategies.

Do you want to try your hand at trading cryptocurrencies? Check out Digitex, a next-generation crypto trading platform where you can trade Bitcoin derivatives without paying any fees. With a zero-fee trading experience, you can limit your losses and maximize your gains while enjoying the benefits of a robust, beginner-friendly exchange service.

Register An Account At Digitex Now!

Cryptocurrencies Work Best With Technical Analysis

Although cryptocurrencies have only been in existence for 10 years, technical analysis has proven to generate good crypto trading strategies and a better trading experience versus fundamental analysis.

Given the dramatic price fluctuations within the crypto universe, it’s virtually impossible to accurately determine the intrinsic value of any cryptocurrency, including Bitcoin. Therefore, it’s impractical to apply fundamental analysis if the intrinsic value is unavailable. As a result, the best futures trading strategies for crypto incorporate technical indicators.

Cryptocurrencies behave in a similar manner to commodities and foreign currencies (forex). Therefore, using technical indicators is the best course of action.

While there are hundreds of different technical indicators, it can be rather difficult to select the best ones when developing your day trading cryptocurrency strategy. Some simply work better than others.

Let’s review a few of the indicators that have yielded decent results for trading cryptocurrencies. We’ll use Bitcoin in our examples, but keep in mind that the best crypto trading strategy advice can usually be used for any coin.

Pay Attention to Volume

Volume can provide several clues to the underlying strength or weakness of the market. It can give early warning signs concerning a possible change in trend.

That said, many traders don’t pay attention to volume when developing their crypto trading strategies. However, this is a mistake as the indicator provides a “snapshot” picture of how many traders are actually establishing positions at various price levels.

The best way to use this indicator to develop a day trading cryptocurrency strategy is to compare and contrast the daily volume on a big up day or a big down day. If a bullish breakout is not confirmed by record volume, it’s probably a false breakout.

Also, if a bearish breakout is not validated by record volume, the most likely outcome is a false breakout in this case as well.

Let’s take a look at a perfect example of a false breakout that occurred in March 2021.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 12

As you can see in the chart above, a strong resistance level formed at $51,354 on February 24 from previous support. On March 2 at 20:00, BTC entered into a short bull run, in which it surged from $47,450 to $51,681 by March 3.

However, the volume was weak (3,240 BTC divided between four candlesticks). For comparison, users traded 10,748 coins while Bitcoin gained $3,615 between February 16 and 17.

As a result, this turned out to be a false breakout, with the BTC price rolling over to the downside, eliminating all the gains from the cryptocurrency’s bull run in the next few days.

However, those with great crypto trading strategies who followed the volume indicator on March 2 and 3 were able to cut their losses very quickly.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 13

The volume indicator produced another signal on February 22. A sell signal occurred at $54,237 on the heavy daily volume of 17,000 BTC (users traded 3,563 BTC on the previous day).

Traders who identified the crypto trading signal and shorted BTC at $54,237 enjoyed a very profitable trade, in which the digital asset fell down to $45,309 until its price started to increase again. The volume indicator worked incredibly well on this particular trade.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 14

A third signal occurred on March 13. The volume indicator initiated a sell signal at $61,153 as Bitcoin’s strong surge that day was not matched by record volume (only 6,188 BTC). Therefore, this trade resulted in a false breakout, which moved the cryptocurrency’s price down to $51,344 by March 25.

As you can see, volume is a very useful tool in the world of technical analysis. For that reason, you should always pay attention to volume when developing Bitcoin trading strategies as it has the potential to generate very profitable trades.

More importantly, it can identify false breakouts, which will allow you to cut your losses very quickly. For that reason, you should never ignore the volume of the asset you are planning to trade!

Basing Your Bitcoin Trading Strategies on Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that fluctuates between 0 and 100, measuring the speed and change of price movements.

RSI is a fairly popular indicator that can be found on many financial websites and also in day trading strategies for cryptocurrency.

Typically, traders use RSI to determine if a market is overbought or oversold.

The general belief is that a market becomes overbought when RSI exceeds 70. Conversely, a market becomes oversold when RSI drops below 30.

That said, this particular strategy doesn’t work very well in the real world as markets can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods of time. As a result, RSI tends to generate many false signals.

Based on historical research, a more appropriate way to apply RSI is to use it as a confirmation indicator. For example, if Bitcoin is making a new high, RSI should also be making a new high in order to confirm the strength of Bitcoin’s breakout into new territory.

If Bitcoin is making a new low, RSI should also be making a new low to confirm the strength of the cryptocurrency’s breakout into new territory.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 15

The chart above displays a bullish breakout on February 8, 2021 at $46,453. Since the RIS generated a new high along with the BTC price, it confirmed that the breakout is valid, which resulted in a move upward to $57,402 by February 21.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 16

The same outcome occurred on January 6 at $36,843. After testing the resistance line a few times, Bitcoin generated a breakout.

And, like in the previous case, the RSI confirmed the breakout as it jumped to record highs. As a result, traders who placed an order at $36,843 could profit $4,460 as BTC surged to $41,303 before entering into a correction.

The RSI indicator works remarkably well at confirming bullish and bearish breakouts. Traders who have the discipline to follow this indicator will save money by ignoring the trades that are not validated by a new RSI breakout.

Don’t Ignore Money Flow

The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a momentum indicator that measures the inflow and outflow of money into a security over a specific period of time. It uses price and volume to calculate trading pressure.

Arguably, MFI is the surest way to determine the amount of money entering and leaving a particular security or market. And if you’re looking to develop the best crypto trading strategy, you can’t ignore MFI.

Similar to the RSI, the index fluctuates between 0 and 100. In terms of Bitcoin, the best way to apply MFI for great crypto trading strategies is to use it as a validation tool.

For example, if Bitcoin is making a new high, MFI should also be making a new high in order to confirm the strength of Bitcoin’s breakout into new territory.

On the other hand, if Bitcoin is making a new low, MFI should also be making a new low to confirm the strength of BTC’s breakout.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 17

As you can see on the chart above, the MFI invalidated the bullish breakout on January 29, 2021 at 8:00. While Bitcoin surged by a whopping $5,000 that day, the MFI moved just above the levels it was standing eight hours ago.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 18

On the other hand, the MFI did a great job at validating the bullish breakout on March 8. As soon as the BTC price broke through the resistance level, the MFI jumped 10 points while the cryptocurrency’s value surged from $51,000 to $61,218 between March 8 and 13.

True Range Breakout (TRABOS)

The true range breakout indicator (TRABOS) is designed to capture short-term price fluctuations across all asset classes. It generates several buy/sell signals in comparison to most other indicators.

For those who enjoy active crypto trading strategies, TRABOS will be very appealing to your aggressive style of trading. Furthermore, it can also be applied to day trading futures strategies; trading them daily also requires a certain amount of aggression.

The most attractive aspect of TRABOS is based on the fact that it rarely misses a big move. Why? Because trading signals are calculated on a daily basis. Therefore, the indicator is constantly searching for profitable trading opportunities. See below for more information.

Note: A sell signal was generated at $54,663 on February 22, 2021.

The trading rules for TRABOS are rather simple. You can find them below:

1.Calculate the true range (daily high minus daily low).

  1. Buy signal is the closing price plus the true range.
  2. Sell signal is the closing price minus the true range.
  3. If long, the profit target is the daily high on the day of entry.
  4. If long, the protective stop is the low on the day of entry.
  5. If short, the profit target is the daily low on the day of entry.
  6. If short, the protective stop is the high on the day of entry.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 19

Based on the chart above, the TRABOS didn’t generate a signal on February 21.

However, traders could identify a sell signal on February 22 at $54,663. While the BTC price closed at $57,479 on the previous day, the true range was 2,816. For that reason, a bearish signal could be observed on the next day when the cryptocurrency’s value decreased below $54,663.

Putting a protective stop at $57,572, our profit target was the low on the day of entry, which is $47,426.

This turned out to be a very profitable trade because BTC experienced a substantial decline that day and the day after. As a result, we reached our profit target at $47,426 on February 23.

After the trade has been completed, simply calculate a new buy/sell signal for the next day. You can automatically calculate daily TRABOS by using the Average True Range (ATR) indicator and setting its length to 1.

TRABOS creates 2 to 3 trades per week. The key to success is to consistently take every trade for an extended period of time.

Since TRABOS generates a large number of buy/sell signals, it is an excellent indicator for traders on the Digitex Futures platform. As Digitex is 100% commission-free, it doesn’t hurt the profitability of traders by imposing fees on their positions (a 0.10% cost would take away 10% from margin traders using a 100x leverage).

For that reason, trading on Digitex will dramatically reduce the cost of trading for aggressive crypto trading strategies that incorporate indicators like TRABOS.

Crypto Trading Strategies – Wrapping It Up

While they are definitely useful, the four indicators listed in this article are certainly not perfect. However, when taken as a group, they provide an excellent approach to trading cryptocurrencies.

No matter whether cryptocurrencies are bullish or bearish, it’s certainly possible to trade crypto successfully amid any market conditions.

However, it requires patience, discipline, and a handful of reliable indicators. While it’s easy to pick the right indicators, the hard part is being patient, disciplined, and dedicated when leveraging your crypto trading strategies.

That said, developing the best futures trading strategies will take more than just knowledge of these indicators, but they’re a good place to start.

Personal Observations

I’ve been trading commodities for three decades. In 2016, I began trading cryptocurrencies.

Throughout my trading career, I’ve used technical analysis 100% of the time and have found it to be integral to developing the best crypto trading strategy.

Based on my trading results, I’m convinced that certain price patterns are repetitive in nature. I believe in the notion that past trading activity and price movements are valuable indicators of future price direction.

I’m also convinced that technical analysis will generate superior results, particularly if the technical indicators are trend-following in nature.

Leverage Your Crypto Trading Strategies on Digitex

High fees can easily turn the profits of traders into losses.

To avoid hurting your profitability, the revolutionary Bitcoin derivatives trading platform Digitex completely eliminated fees on its platform. As a result, you get more winning trades, more often while leveraging your crypto trading strategies on the Digitex futures exchange.

In addition to keeping 100% of your revenue while utilizing a robust crypto trading platform, Digitex also features multiple rewards programs.

By yield farming the exchange’s native DGTX token on Uniswap, you can benefit from a generous 10.90% APY with the option to multiply your gains by providing liquidity for longer periods.

On top of that, Digitex also rewards users for simply trading cryptocurrency via its liquidity mining program.

In exchange for providing liquidity to the platform with unfilled orders, Digitex traders can earn up to 140 DGTX each minute. The rewards are distributed proportionally between those whose unmatched orders were the closest to the spot price at the time the system randomly takes a snapshot of the order book.

To reap all these benefits, be sure to create an account at the Bitcoin derivatives exchange Digitex.

Gaining 222% in March, DGTX is also a hot asset for both investors and traders, which you can now buy using a credit or a debit card.

Sounds great, huh?

Purchase DGTX Now!

Digitex Futures writers and/or guest authors may or may not have a vested interest in the Digitex Futures project and/or other businesses mentioned throughout the site. None of the content on Digitex Futures is investment advice, nor is it a replacement for advice from a certified financial planner.

February 11, 2020
Digitex Futures
Trading

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies

Dave Reiter
A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 20

In the world of trading and investing, there are two different methods for speculating across all asset classes.

Speculators are divided into one of the following categories: fundamental analysis or technical analysis.

Let’s examine each category and consider how they can be used to develop crypto trading strategies that work.

Fundamental Analysis vs. Technical Analysis

Fundamental analysis is most widely used among stock market traders, particularly those who invest in individual stocks. This particular method focuses on the earnings per share (EPS), price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, dividend yield, and debt-to-equity ratio.

The main objective of fundamental analysis is to determine the intrinsic value of the individual stock. If the price of the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, an investor may want to buy the stock.

Investors use fundamental analysis with other asset classes such as bonds, commodities, and alternative investments. Regardless of the asset class, the objective is always the same — to determine the intrinsic value of the underlying asset.

If the asset is trading below its intrinsic value, the investor would be inclined to buy the security based on the fact that it’s undervalued. This can be a foundation of day trading futures strategies.

Technical analysis uses a completely different method. It’s a trading approach designed to evaluate investment flows and trading opportunities by analyzing statistical trends.

These statistical trends are gathered from various trading activities, most notably price movement and volume.

Technical analysis makes no effort to determine intrinsic value. Instead, it focuses on patterns derived from price movements and charting tools. These tools are used to appraise the strength or weakness of the underlying security or asset class and determine the day trading strategies for cryptocurrency or other assets.

Although technical analysis can be used with any asset class, it is most widely used among currency and commodity traders. Why?

Because historical research suggests that currencies and commodities generate much better performance results when traders use trend-following tools commonly found in technical analysis to develop their day trading futures strategies.

Do you want to try your hand at trading cryptocurrencies? Check out Digitex, a next-generation crypto trading platform where you can trade Bitcoin derivatives without paying any fees. With a zero-fee trading experience, you can limit your losses and maximize your gains while enjoying the benefits of a robust, beginner-friendly exchange service.

Register An Account At Digitex Now!

Cryptocurrencies Work Best With Technical Analysis

Although cryptocurrencies have only been in existence for 10 years, technical analysis has proven to generate good crypto trading strategies and a better trading experience versus fundamental analysis.

Given the dramatic price fluctuations within the crypto universe, it’s virtually impossible to accurately determine the intrinsic value of any cryptocurrency, including Bitcoin. Therefore, it’s impractical to apply fundamental analysis if the intrinsic value is unavailable. As a result, the best futures trading strategies for crypto incorporate technical indicators.

Cryptocurrencies behave in a similar manner to commodities and foreign currencies (forex). Therefore, using technical indicators is the best course of action.

While there are hundreds of different technical indicators, it can be rather difficult to select the best ones when developing your day trading cryptocurrency strategy. Some simply work better than others.

Let’s review a few of the indicators that have yielded decent results for trading cryptocurrencies. We’ll use Bitcoin in our examples, but keep in mind that the best crypto trading strategy advice can usually be used for any coin.

Pay Attention to Volume

Volume can provide several clues to the underlying strength or weakness of the market. It can give early warning signs concerning a possible change in trend.

That said, many traders don’t pay attention to volume when developing their crypto trading strategies. However, this is a mistake as the indicator provides a “snapshot” picture of how many traders are actually establishing positions at various price levels.

The best way to use this indicator to develop a day trading cryptocurrency strategy is to compare and contrast the daily volume on a big up day or a big down day. If a bullish breakout is not confirmed by record volume, it’s probably a false breakout.

Also, if a bearish breakout is not validated by record volume, the most likely outcome is a false breakout in this case as well.

Let’s take a look at a perfect example of a false breakout that occurred in March 2021.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 21

As you can see in the chart above, a strong resistance level formed at $51,354 on February 24 from previous support. On March 2 at 20:00, BTC entered into a short bull run, in which it surged from $47,450 to $51,681 by March 3.

However, the volume was weak (3,240 BTC divided between four candlesticks). For comparison, users traded 10,748 coins while Bitcoin gained $3,615 between February 16 and 17.

As a result, this turned out to be a false breakout, with the BTC price rolling over to the downside, eliminating all the gains from the cryptocurrency’s bull run in the next few days.

However, those with great crypto trading strategies who followed the volume indicator on March 2 and 3 were able to cut their losses very quickly.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 22

The volume indicator produced another signal on February 22. A sell signal occurred at $54,237 on the heavy daily volume of 17,000 BTC (users traded 3,563 BTC on the previous day).

Traders who identified the crypto trading signal and shorted BTC at $54,237 enjoyed a very profitable trade, in which the digital asset fell down to $45,309 until its price started to increase again. The volume indicator worked incredibly well on this particular trade.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 23

A third signal occurred on March 13. The volume indicator initiated a sell signal at $61,153 as Bitcoin’s strong surge that day was not matched by record volume (only 6,188 BTC). Therefore, this trade resulted in a false breakout, which moved the cryptocurrency’s price down to $51,344 by March 25.

As you can see, volume is a very useful tool in the world of technical analysis. For that reason, you should always pay attention to volume when developing Bitcoin trading strategies as it has the potential to generate very profitable trades.

More importantly, it can identify false breakouts, which will allow you to cut your losses very quickly. For that reason, you should never ignore the volume of the asset you are planning to trade!

Basing Your Bitcoin Trading Strategies on Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that fluctuates between 0 and 100, measuring the speed and change of price movements.

RSI is a fairly popular indicator that can be found on many financial websites and also in day trading strategies for cryptocurrency.

Typically, traders use RSI to determine if a market is overbought or oversold.

The general belief is that a market becomes overbought when RSI exceeds 70. Conversely, a market becomes oversold when RSI drops below 30.

That said, this particular strategy doesn’t work very well in the real world as markets can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods of time. As a result, RSI tends to generate many false signals.

Based on historical research, a more appropriate way to apply RSI is to use it as a confirmation indicator. For example, if Bitcoin is making a new high, RSI should also be making a new high in order to confirm the strength of Bitcoin’s breakout into new territory.

If Bitcoin is making a new low, RSI should also be making a new low to confirm the strength of the cryptocurrency’s breakout into new territory.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 24

The chart above displays a bullish breakout on February 8, 2021 at $46,453. Since the RIS generated a new high along with the BTC price, it confirmed that the breakout is valid, which resulted in a move upward to $57,402 by February 21.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 25

The same outcome occurred on January 6 at $36,843. After testing the resistance line a few times, Bitcoin generated a breakout.

And, like in the previous case, the RSI confirmed the breakout as it jumped to record highs. As a result, traders who placed an order at $36,843 could profit $4,460 as BTC surged to $41,303 before entering into a correction.

The RSI indicator works remarkably well at confirming bullish and bearish breakouts. Traders who have the discipline to follow this indicator will save money by ignoring the trades that are not validated by a new RSI breakout.

Don’t Ignore Money Flow

The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a momentum indicator that measures the inflow and outflow of money into a security over a specific period of time. It uses price and volume to calculate trading pressure.

Arguably, MFI is the surest way to determine the amount of money entering and leaving a particular security or market. And if you’re looking to develop the best crypto trading strategy, you can’t ignore MFI.

Similar to the RSI, the index fluctuates between 0 and 100. In terms of Bitcoin, the best way to apply MFI for great crypto trading strategies is to use it as a validation tool.

For example, if Bitcoin is making a new high, MFI should also be making a new high in order to confirm the strength of Bitcoin’s breakout into new territory.

On the other hand, if Bitcoin is making a new low, MFI should also be making a new low to confirm the strength of BTC’s breakout.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 26

As you can see on the chart above, the MFI invalidated the bullish breakout on January 29, 2021 at 8:00. While Bitcoin surged by a whopping $5,000 that day, the MFI moved just above the levels it was standing eight hours ago.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 27

On the other hand, the MFI did a great job at validating the bullish breakout on March 8. As soon as the BTC price broke through the resistance level, the MFI jumped 10 points while the cryptocurrency’s value surged from $51,000 to $61,218 between March 8 and 13.

True Range Breakout (TRABOS)

The true range breakout indicator (TRABOS) is designed to capture short-term price fluctuations across all asset classes. It generates several buy/sell signals in comparison to most other indicators.

For those who enjoy active crypto trading strategies, TRABOS will be very appealing to your aggressive style of trading. Furthermore, it can also be applied to day trading futures strategies; trading them daily also requires a certain amount of aggression.

The most attractive aspect of TRABOS is based on the fact that it rarely misses a big move. Why? Because trading signals are calculated on a daily basis. Therefore, the indicator is constantly searching for profitable trading opportunities. See below for more information.

Note: A sell signal was generated at $54,663 on February 22, 2021.

The trading rules for TRABOS are rather simple. You can find them below:

1.Calculate the true range (daily high minus daily low).

  1. Buy signal is the closing price plus the true range.
  2. Sell signal is the closing price minus the true range.
  3. If long, the profit target is the daily high on the day of entry.
  4. If long, the protective stop is the low on the day of entry.
  5. If short, the profit target is the daily low on the day of entry.
  6. If short, the protective stop is the high on the day of entry.

A Look at the Best Crypto Trading Strategies 28

Based on the chart above, the TRABOS didn’t generate a signal on February 21.

However, traders could identify a sell signal on February 22 at $54,663. While the BTC price closed at $57,479 on the previous day, the true range was 2,816. For that reason, a bearish signal could be observed on the next day when the cryptocurrency’s value decreased below $54,663.

Putting a protective stop at $57,572, our profit target was the low on the day of entry, which is $47,426.

This turned out to be a very profitable trade because BTC experienced a substantial decline that day and the day after. As a result, we reached our profit target at $47,426 on February 23.

After the trade has been completed, simply calculate a new buy/sell signal for the next day. You can automatically calculate daily TRABOS by using the Average True Range (ATR) indicator and setting its length to 1.

TRABOS creates 2 to 3 trades per week. The key to success is to consistently take every trade for an extended period of time.

Since TRABOS generates a large number of buy/sell signals, it is an excellent indicator for traders on the Digitex Futures platform. As Digitex is 100% commission-free, it doesn’t hurt the profitability of traders by imposing fees on their positions (a 0.10% cost would take away 10% from margin traders using a 100x leverage).

For that reason, trading on Digitex will dramatically reduce the cost of trading for aggressive crypto trading strategies that incorporate indicators like TRABOS.

Crypto Trading Strategies – Wrapping It Up

While they are definitely useful, the four indicators listed in this article are certainly not perfect. However, when taken as a group, they provide an excellent approach to trading cryptocurrencies.

No matter whether cryptocurrencies are bullish or bearish, it’s certainly possible to trade crypto successfully amid any market conditions.

However, it requires patience, discipline, and a handful of reliable indicators. While it’s easy to pick the right indicators, the hard part is being patient, disciplined, and dedicated when leveraging your crypto trading strategies.

That said, developing the best futures trading strategies will take more than just knowledge of these indicators, but they’re a good place to start.

Personal Observations

I’ve been trading commodities for three decades. In 2016, I began trading cryptocurrencies.

Throughout my trading career, I’ve used technical analysis 100% of the time and have found it to be integral to developing the best crypto trading strategy.

Based on my trading results, I’m convinced that certain price patterns are repetitive in nature. I believe in the notion that past trading activity and price movements are valuable indicators of future price direction.

I’m also convinced that technical analysis will generate superior results, particularly if the technical indicators are trend-following in nature.

Leverage Your Crypto Trading Strategies on Digitex

High fees can easily turn the profits of traders into losses.

To avoid hurting your profitability, the revolutionary Bitcoin derivatives trading platform Digitex completely eliminated fees on its platform. As a result, you get more winning trades, more often while leveraging your crypto trading strategies on the Digitex futures exchange.

In addition to keeping 100% of your revenue while utilizing a robust crypto trading platform, Digitex also features multiple rewards programs.

By yield farming the exchange’s native DGTX token on Uniswap, you can benefit from a generous 10.90% APY with the option to multiply your gains by providing liquidity for longer periods.

On top of that, Digitex also rewards users for simply trading cryptocurrency via its liquidity mining program.

In exchange for providing liquidity to the platform with unfilled orders, Digitex traders can earn up to 140 DGTX each minute. The rewards are distributed proportionally between those whose unmatched orders were the closest to the spot price at the time the system randomly takes a snapshot of the order book.

To reap all these benefits, be sure to create an account at the Bitcoin derivatives exchange Digitex.

Gaining 222% in March, DGTX is also a hot asset for both investors and traders, which you can now buy using a credit or a debit card.

Sounds great, huh?

Purchase DGTX Now!

Digitex Futures writers and/or guest authors may or may not have a vested interest in the Digitex Futures project and/or other businesses mentioned throughout the site. None of the content on Digitex Futures is investment advice, nor is it a replacement for advice from a certified financial planner.

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